ANALISIS PERAMALAN PENJUALAN MINYAK KELAPA SAWIT ( MKS ) PADA PT.PERKEBUNAN NUSANTARA IV UNIT KEBUN PABATU

Authors

  • Susiana . Susiana State University of Medan

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.24114/jmk.v1i3.8657

Abstract

Peramalan penjualan dalam suatu perusahaan dapat menjadi pertimbangan yang cukup
signifikan dalam hal penentuan kebijakan dan rencana produksi perusahaan tersebut, termasuk
PT. Perkebunan Nusantara IV (PTPN IV). Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah mengetahui model
peramalan time series terbaik khususnya dengan metode proyeksi tren (trend projection) untuk
meramalkan penjualan Minyak Kelapa Sawit (MKS) dan juga memperoleh hasil peramalan
penjualan MKS untuk periode selanjutnya, yaitu terhitung bulan Maret - Desember 2015.
Penelitian ini adalah penelitian deskriptif dengan menggunakan metode peramalan time series
dan teknik analisis data menggunakan Microsoft Excel. Berdasarkan hasil analisis data, diketahui
bahwa metode tren linier lebih baik daripada metode tren eksponensialkarena memiliki nilai
tingkat error (SEE) lebih rendah yakni 591,34.

Author Biography

  • Susiana . Susiana, State University of Medan
    Jurusan Matematika

References

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Published

2015-12-04

Issue

Vol. 1 No. 3 (2015): Karismatika

Section

Articles

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