Public Perceptions on Land Use Change and Flood Incidence in the Kendal Watershed Area
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.24114/jg.v18i1.68020Keywords:
Land-use Change, Flood, Public Perception, Social and Environment Impact, Kendal WatershedAbstract
Uncontrolled land-use changes driven by rapid population growth and expanding residential development have significantly heightened flood risk in the Kendal Watershed, Kendal District. The conversion of agricultural and open land into built-up areas has altered hydrological processes, reducing water infiltration capacity and increasing surface runoff. This study aims to (1) identify spatial and temporal land-use changes from 2017 to 2025, (2) analyze public perceptions regarding land conversion and flooding, and (3) assess the resulting social and environmental impacts within the watershed area. A quantitative descriptive approach was employed by integrating Geographic Information System (GIS)-based analysis of Sentinel-2A satellite imagery with primary data collected through Likert-scale questionnaires administered to 96 respondents residing in flood-prone areas. The results indicate a substantial decline in rice field areas by 44.19 hectares, accompanied by a notable increase in residential land of 36.12 hectares over the study period. Community perceptions reveal that these land-use changes have contributed to increased flood frequency, greater flood intensity, and longer inundation duration. The observed social impacts include disruptions to daily activities, reduced access to clean water, economic losses, and a higher incidence of waterborne and skin-related diseases. Environmental impacts are reflected in declining sanitation conditions, increased waste accumulation, river sedimentation, and persistent water pollution. These findings underscore the urgent need for stricter land-use regulation, restoration of green and infiltration areas, and adaptive, sustainable spatial planning to reduce flood risk and enhance community resilience in the Kendal WatershedReferences
Abdullah, I., & Maryani, E. (2024). Development of a Geography Module with a Disaster Mitigation Learning Model Based on the Concept of Local Wisdom in Disaster Preparedness. Jurnal Geografi, 16(1), 111–121. https://doi.org/10.24114/jg.v16i1.48944
Adi, W. B., & Muladi, A. (2022). Alih fungsi kawasan hutan dan dampaknya terhadap bencana banjir di Kabupaten Bima. Agrienvi: Jurnal Ilmu Pertanian Dan Lingkungan, 16(2), 89–97.
Adiyaksa, F., & Djojomartono, P. N. (2020). Evaluasi Alih Fungsi Lahan Pertanian Menjadi Lahan Industri di Kabupaten Kendal Tahun 2014 - 2018. Journal of Geospatial Information Science and Engineering, 3(1), 71–78. https://doi.org/10.22146/jgise.
Afrian, R., Utaya, S., Astina, I. K., & Bachri, S. (2025). Accelerating Young People’s Disaster Literacy With Problem-Based Learning-Root Cause Analysis. Jurnal Geografi, 17(1), 1–14. https://doi.org/10.24114/jg.v17i1.56569
Aliman, M., Supriyono, Halek, D. H., Lukman, S., Sohnui, S., Marni, S., & Mike. (2025). Content analysis of geography textbook using Beck and McKeown model on natural disaster mitigation. Jurnal Geografi, 17(2), 235–247. https://doi.org/10.24114/jg.v17i2.64625
Altanlar, A., & Özdemir, Z. (2025). A scale development study on the perception of the sustainable urban environment. International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology, 22(5), 3111–3128. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13762-024-05914-z
Andriyani, I., Wahyuningsih, S., & Suryaningtias, S. (2019). Perubahan tata guna lahan di Sub DAS Rembangan-Jember dan dampaknya terhadap laju erosi. AgriTECH.
Antoine, M., & Hsieh, C.-M. (2023). Analyzing Differences in Flood Resilience between Japan, Indonesia, and Taiwan Using Social Capital Theory. FFTC Agricultural Policy Platform.
Arowolo, A. O., & Deng, X. (2018). Land use/land cover change and statistical modelling of cultivated land change drivers in Nigeria. Regional Environmental Change, 18(1), 247–259. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-017-1186-5
Badan Meteorologi dan Klimatologi Geofisika. (2024). Prakiraan Curah Hujan Bulanan Wilayah Kendal Tahun 2024. BMKG Jawa Tengah.
Balai PSDA Bodri Kuto. (2022). Laporan Data Hidrologi dan Debit Sungai Wilayah Sungai Bodri-Kuto.
Cakrapravastha, A., & Akliyah, L. S. (2023). Analisis Pengaruh Perubahan Pola Penggunaan Lahan terhadap Bencana Banjir di Kecamatan Gedebage. Bandung Conference Series: Urban & Regional Planning, 3(2), 465–471. https://doi.org/10.29313/bcsurp.v3i2.8513
Chen, X., Xiong, J., Guan, Y., & Zhou, J. (2025). Ecological Network Construction and Optimization in the Southwest Alpine Canyon Area of China Based on Habitat Quality Assessment. Remote Sensing, 17(11), 1913. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17111913
Christian, K. R., & Hendrasarie, N. (2023). Evaluasi Dampak Banjir Pada Kesehatan Masyarakat Di Kelurahan Krapyak Kota Pekalongan. Jurnal Kesehatan Tambusai, 4, 1923–1932.
Creswell, J. W. (2014). Research Design: Qualitative, Quantitative, and Mixed Method Approaches. SAGE Publications, Inc.
Etikan, I., Musa, S. A., & Alkassim, R. S. (2016). Comparison of convenience sampling and purposive sampling. American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics, 5(1), 1–4.
European Space Agency. (2023). Sentinel-2 user handbook.
Findayani, A. (2015). Kesiap siagaan masyarakat dalam penanggulangan banjir di Kota Semarang. Jurnal Geografi: Media Informasi Pengembangan Dan Profesi Kegeografian, 12(1), 102–114.
Fitri, N., & Putra, M. A. (2024). Pengaruh Pertumbuhan Penduduk dan Tingkat Pedidikan Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Kabupaten/Kota di Provinsi Sulawesi Selatan. Jurnal Mirai Management, 9(3), 117–125. https://doi.org/10.37531/mirai.v9i3.7421
Fitriani, A., & Zulfikar, M. (2024). Community-Based Social Resilience During Flood Events in West Sumatra. Journal of Social Science and Humanities, 13(1), 45–54.
Freihardt, J. (2024). Perceptions of environmental changes among a climate-vulnerable population from Bangladesh. Climatic Change, 177(2), 25. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03678-6
Handayani, W., Chigbu, U. E., Rudiarto, I., & Putri, I. H. S. (2020). Urbanization and Increasing Flood Risk in the Northern Coast of Central Java—Indonesia: An Assessment towards Better Land Use Policy and Flood Management. Land, 9(10), 343. https://doi.org/10.3390/land9100343
Harahap, T., Sudaryono, S., & Kristiadi, D. (2016). Faktor Pembentuk Ketahanan Berbasis Komunitas Pada Kota Kampung Rawan Bencana Studi Kasus : Kampung Jogoyudan Kota Yogyakarta. Jurnal Tekno Global UIGM Fakultas Teknik, 5(1), 29–33. https://doi.org/10.36982/jtg.v5i1.226
Hoirisky, C., Rahmadi, & Harahap, T. (2018). Pengaruh Perubahan Pola Penggunaan Lahan Terhadap Banjir di DAS Buah Kota Palembang. Prosiding Seminar Nasional Hari Air Dunia 2018, 14–25.
Iqbal, A., & Nazir, H. (2023). Community perceptions of flood risks and their attributes: a case study of rural communities of Khipro, district Sanghar, Pakistan. Urban Climate, 52, 101715. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2023.104012
Joumar, N., Gaganis, C. M., Tourlioti, P. N., Pantelakis, I., Tzoraki, O., Benaabidate, L., El Messari, J. E. S., & Gaganis, P. (2025). Understanding Public Perception and Preparedness for Flood Risks in Greece. Water, 17(5), 764. https://doi.org/10.3390/w17050764
Khoirunisa, T., & Yuwono, D. (2022). Urban Flood and Its Correlation with Built-up Area in Semarang, Indonesia. International Journal of Smart City and Urban Analysis, 3(2).
Latief, R., Barkey, R. A., & Suhaeb, M. I. (2021). Perubahan Penggunaan Lahan Terhadap Banjir di Kawasan Daerah Aliran Sungai Maros. Urban and Regional Studies Journal, 3(2), 52–59. https://doi.org/10.35965/ursj.v3i2.669
Li, Y., & Wang, P. (2025). Unbalanced relationship between flood risk perception and flood preparedness from the perspective of response intention and socio-economic factors: a case study of Nanjing, China. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 25(10), 4071–4088. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4071-2025
Lillesand, T. M., Kiefer, R. W., & Chipman, J. W. (2015). Remote sensing and image interpretation (7th ed.). Wiley.
Liu, D., Li, M., Li, Y., & Chen, H. (2022). Assessment of public flood risk perception and influencing factors: an example of Jiaozuo City, China. Sustainability, 14(15), 9475. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14159475
Longley, P. A., Goodchild, M. F., Maguire, D. J., & Rhind, D. W. (2015). Geographic information systems and science (4th ed.). Wiley.
Lumban-Gaol, J., Sumantyo, J. T. S., Tambunan, E., Situmorang, D., Antara, I. M. O. G., & Arhatin, R. E. (2024). Sea level rise, land subsidence, and flood disaster vulnerability assessment: A case study in Medan City, Indonesia. Remote Sensing, 16(5), 865. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16050865
Mahulauw, A. Y., Lasaiba, M. A., & Riry, R. B. (2023). Dampak Bencana Banjir Bendungan Wae Ela Terhadap Lingkungan di Desa Negeri Lima Kecamatan Leihitu Kabupaten Maluku Tengah. Pendidikan Geografi UNPATTI, 2(Agustus), 173–180.
Marhendi, T., & Munir, A. S. (2021). Dampak perubahan landuse terhadap debit puncak banjir sungai Serayu hulu. Techno (Jurnal Fakultas Teknik ….
Maruddani, R. F., Maryani, E., Astari, A. J., & Sari, I. M. (2025). Maruddani, R. F., Maryani, E., Astari, A. J., & Sari, I. M. (2025). School-based disaster resilience: A mixed-methods study of student responses to wildfire hazards. Jurnal Geografi, 17(2), 289–302. https://doi.org/10.24114/jg.v17i2.67890
Masyuri, W. (2018). Analisa Perubahan Penggunaan Lahan Terhadap Potensi Banjir di Kecamatan Medan Denai. Jurnal Tunas Geografi, 07(02), 127–132.
Mubarok, R., Widyasamratri, H., & Budi, S. P. (2022). ANALISIS PERUBAHAN LAHAN Studi Kasus: Kecamatan Mijen Kota Semarang, Kota Malang, dan Bali. Jurnal Kajian Ruang, 2(2), 204–214.
Mulyani, D. (2024). Analisis Perubahan Penggunaan Lahan di Kabupaten Purwakarta. Journal of Scientech Research and Development, 6(1), 1123–1132.
Neuman, W. L. (2014). Social research methods: Qualitative and quantitative approaches (7th ed.). Pearson Education.
Nilasari, D. D. (2018). Identifikasi Dinamika Perubahan RuangTerbuka Hijau (RTH) di Kota Bandar Lampung Tahun 2010-2016. Tugas Akhir. Perencanaan Wilayah Dan Kota Institut Teknologi Sumatera, Lampung Selatan.
Nunnally, J. C., & Bernstein, I. H. (1994). Psychometric theory (3rd ed.). McGraw Hil.
Nurdiana, A., Fauziyah, S., & Sutanto, S. (2020). Pendampingan inventarisasi faktor penyebab banjir dan rob di DAS Kendal Kabupaten Kendal. Jurnal Pengabdian Vokasi, 1(4), 290–293. https://doi.org/10.14710/niche.%v.%i.1-8
Nurhamidah, N., Junaidi, A., & Kurniawan, M. (2018). Tinjauan Perubahan Tata Guna Lahan terhadap Limpasan Permukaan. Kasus: DAS Batang Arau Padang. Jurnal Rekayasa Sipil, 14(2), 131–138.
Palazzoli, I., Puglisi, C., Binelli, C., Muttarak, R., & Ceola, S. (2025). Public perceptions and responses to flood risk: Evidence from the 2023 flood events in Italy. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 105981. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105981
Pemerintah Kabupaten Kendal. (2024). Rencana Detail Tata Ruang (RDTR) Kecamatan Kendal Tahun 2024. Dinas Pekerjaan Umum dan Penataan Ruang Kabupaten Kendal.
Qadriina, H. I., Herdiansyah, H., & Aryo, B. (2025). Does Social Capital Play an Important Role in Disaster Recovery?: A Qualitative Study of the 2022 Cianjur Earthquake in Indonesia. Journal of Population and Social Studies [JPSS], 33, 432–451.
Rahardian, A., & Buchori, I. (2016). Dampak perubahan penggunaan lahan terhadap limpasan permukaan & laju aliran puncak Sub DAS Gajahwong Hulu. Jurnal PWK Undip, 5(3), 161–168.
Rizani, M. A., Setiawan, K. P., Sadianoor, S., Jarmani, A., Ramadaniar, H. R., Abida, M. R., & Mahasina, D. A. (2023). Analisa Perubahan Tata Guna Lahan Terhadap Ketinggian Banjir Di Kota Barabai. Sebatik, 27(2), 480–490.
Santoro, S., Lovreglio, R., Totaro, V., Camarda, D., Iacobellis, V., & Fratino, U. (2023). Community risk perception for flood management: a structural equation modelling approach. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 97, 104012. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2023.104012
Saraswati, G. F., Suprayogi, A., & Amarrohman, F. (2017). Analisis Perubahan Tutupan Lahan Das Blorong Terhadap Peningkatan Debit Maksimum Sungai Blorong Kendal.
Sugiyono. (2019). Metode Penelitian Kualitatif, Kuantitatif, dan R&D. Alfabeta.
Suryani, S., Nurjasmi, R., & Fitri, R. (2020). Pemanfaatan lahan sempit perkotaan untuk kemandirian pangan keluarga. Jurnal Ilmiah Respati, 11(2), 93–102.
Vargas, N. G., Bodah, B. W., Caballero, B., Ochoa, E., Salas, K. M., Neckel, A., de Vargas Mores, G., Moro, L. D., Palma, H. H., & Ramos, C. G. (2024). Environmental perception of solid waste management in the hurtado balneary, Colombia. Water, Air, & Soil Pollution, 235(2), 121. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11270-023-06877-6
Wahyuni, H., & Suranto, S. (2021). Dampak Deforestasi Hutan Skala Besar terhadap Pemanasan Global di Indonesia. JIIP: Jurnal Ilmiah Ilmu Pemerintahan, 6(1), 148–162. https://doi.org/10.14710/jiip.v6i1.10083
Wolf, L. A. De, Robinson, P. J., Botzen, W. J. W., Haer, T., Mol, J. M., & Czajkowski, J. (2024). Factors of influence on flood risk perceptions related to Hurricane Dorian: an assessment of heuristics, time dynamics, and accuracy of risk perceptions. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 24(4), 1303–1318. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1303-2024.
Yamane, T. (1967). Statistics: An introductory analysis (2nd ed.). Harper & Row.
Yendri, O., Wahyudi, A., & Gunawan, G. (2019). Perubahan Tutupan Lahan Terhadap Debit Banjir Menggunakan Model Regresi Linier Berganda Sub Das Musi Hulu Kabupaten Musi Rawas. Teknik Hidro, 12(2), 32–39.
Yin, J., Yu, D., & Wilby, R. L. (2022). Increasing global urban exposure to flooding: An analysis of long‑term annual dynamics. Science of The Total Environment, 817, 153012. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.153012
Zscheischler, J., & Rogga, S. (2021). Innovations for sustainable land management—a comparative case study. Sustainable Land Management in a European Content, 1(1), 145–164. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-50841-8_8
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Andi Irwan Benardi, Atta-Ur Rahman, Dewi Liesnoor Setyowati, Adrian Gustiyansyah Selebes, Joshua Vincent Gerar Yametis, Bayu Wijayanto, Novika Adi Wibowo, Muhammad Zulfi Al'Ghani

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.





