DYNAMICS AND PREDICTIONS OF LAND-USE CHANGES IN SERANG RAYA AND THEIR CONFORMITY TO THE SPATIAL PLAN OF BANTEN PROVINCE
Abstract
Serang Raya is developing rapidly, characterized by the growing population, and increasing socioeconomic activities would threaten the sustainability as one of the food storage areas and guard the natural ecosystem in Java. The need for urban land may lead to land use with various protection functions and productive agricultural land, resulting in a decrease in food production and environmental degradation. This study aims to analyze the dynamics of land-use change in Serang Raya in 2000-2018, to predict land use in 2030, and to analyze the unconformity between land use in 2018 and the expected land use in 2030 with the spatial plan of Banten Province 2010-2030. The analytical methods used image interpretation, CA-Markov land use predictions, and overlay analysis to identify unconformity. The results showed that land use in Serang Raya had changed with a dominant pattern of change: rice fields became open land, plantations became built-up areas, and rice fields became built-up areas. Prediction of land use in 2030 shows an increase of built-up area, which is relatively high along with a decrease in paddy fields and plantations. The existing land use conditions in 2018 led to unconformity with the space allocation of 8.92% and increased to 9.31% compared to the predicted land in 2030.
Keywords: Spatial Unconformity, Land Conversion, Land Prediction
Full Text:
PDFReferences
Boonchoo, K. (2018). Urban Landuse changes Prediction by using a CA-Markov and Logistic Regression Analysis. International Journal of Geoinformatics, 14(2), 35–43. https://doi.org/10.52939/ijg.v14i2.1133
Christiawan, P. I. (2019). Tipe Urban Sprawl dan Eksistensi Pertanian di Wilayah Pinggiran Kota Denpasar. Jurnal Wilayah Dan Lingkungan, 7(2), 79–89. https://doi.org/10.14710/jwl.7.2.79-89
Fardani, I. (2020). Landuse change prediction model based on Cellular Automata (CA) method in Bandung City. IOP Conf. Series: Journal of Physics: Conf. Series, 1469 01203. https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/1469/1/012030
Hamad, R., Balzter, H., & Kolo, K. (2018). Predicting land use/land cover changes using a CA-Markov model under two different scenarios. Sustainability, 10(10), 3421. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10103421
Jensen, J. R. (1996). Introducing Digital Image Processing: A Remote Sensing Perspective. 2nd Edition. Prentice-Hall, Inc.
Karimi, H., Jafarnezhad, J., Khaledi, J., & Ahmadi, P. (2018). Monitoring and prediction of land use/land cover changes using CA-Markov model: a case study of Ravansar County in Iran. Arabian Journal of Geosciences, 11, 592. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-018-3940-5
Kesaulija, F. F., Aipassa, M. I., Sumaryono, M., & Suhardiman, A. (2021). Modeling Land Cover Change Using Markov Chain-Cellular Automata in Sorong, West Papua Province. Proceeding of the Joint Symposium on Tropical Studies (JSTS-19), Advances in Biological Sciences Research, 11, 157–162. https://doi.org/10.2991/absr.k.210408.026
Kurnianti, D. N., Rustiadi, E., & Baskoro, D. P. T. (2015). Land use projection for spatial plan consistency in Jabodetabek. Indonesian Journal of Geography, 47(2), 124–131. https://doi.org/10.22146/ijg.9249
Kurniawan, I., Barus, B., & Pravitasari, A. E. (2017). Pemodelan Spasial Perubahan Penggunaan Lahan di Taman Nasional Gunung Halimun Salak dan Daerah Penyangganya. Journal of Regional and Rural Development Planning, 1(3), 270–286. https://doi.org/10.29244/jp2wd.2017.1.3.270-286
Lambin, E. F., Geist, H. J., & Lepers, E. (2003). Dynamics of land use and land cover change in tropical regions. Annual Review of Environment and Resources, 28(1), 205–241. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.energy.28.050302.105459
Lamidi, Sitorus, S. R. P., Pramudya, B., & Munibah, K. (2018). Perubahan Penggunaan Lahan Di Kota Serang, Provinsi Banten. Tataloka, 20(1), 65–74. https://doi.org/10.14710/tataloka.20.1.65-74
Martanto, A. (2012). Kajian Efisiensi Penggunaan Lahan dan Pola Persebaran Perumahan di Ibukota Kabupaten Purwakarta. Jurnal Pembangunan Wilayah Dan Kota, 8(3), 306–316. https://doi.org/10.14710/pwk.v8i3.6485
Mosammam, H. M., Nia, J. T., Khani, H., Teymouri, A., & Kazemi, M. (2017). Monitoring land-use change and measuring urban sprawl based on its spatial forms: The case of Qom city. Egyptian Journal of Remote Sensing and Space Science, 20, 103–116. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrs.2016.08.002
Nurhanifah. (2021). Description and Mapping of Urbanization Development in Sumatera Utara. Jurnal Geografi, 13(2), 251–262. https://doi.org/10.24114/jg.v13i2.23206
Peraturan Pemerintah Republik Indonesia (RI). (2017). Peraturan Pemerintah Republik Indonesia Nomor 13 Tahun 2017 tentang Perubahan Atas Peraturan Pemerintah Nomor 26 Tahun 2008 Tentang Rencana Tata Ruang Wilayah Nasional. Sekretariat Negara.
Pravitasari, A. E., Rustiadi, E., Mulya, S. P., Setiawan, Y., Fuadina, L. N., & Murtadho, A. (2018). Identifying the driving forces of urban expansion and its environmental impact in the Jakarta-Bandung mega-urban region. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 149. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/149/1/012044
Pravitasari, A. E., Rustiadi, E., & Saizen, I. (2016). Exploring Local Driving Force of Increasing Urbanized Area in Java using Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR). International Symposium on the Education & Research of the Global Environmental Studies in Asia & The 11th Inter-University Workshop on Education and Research Collaboration in Indochina Region 13-15 November. Bangkok. https://doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.17270.80966
Pravitasari, A. E., Saizen, I., Tsutsumida, N., Rustiadi, E., & Pribadi, D. O. (2015). Local spatially dependent driving forces of urban expansion in an emerging Asian megacity: The case of Greater Jakarta (Jabodetabek). Journal of Sustainable Development, 8(1), 108–119. https://doi.org/10.5539/jsd.v8n1p108
Pravitasari, A. E., Suhada, A., Mulya, S. P., Rustiadi, E., Murtadho, A., Wulandari, S., & Widodo, C. E. (2019). Land use/cover changes and spatial distribution pattern of rice field decreasing trend in Serang Regency, Banten Province. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 399. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/399/1/012033
Pribadi, D. O., Shiddiq, D., & Ermyanila, M. (2006). Model perubahan tutupan lahan dan faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhinya. Jurnal Teknik Lingkungan, 7(1), 35–51. https://doi.org/10.29122/jtl.v7i1.364
Putri, L. M., & Wicaksono, P. (2021). Mapping of Land Use Change in the Core Zone of Parangtritis Sand Dunes using OBIA Method 2015-2020. Jurnal Geografi, 13(1), 109–120. https://doi.org/10.24114/jg.v13i1.21465
Putri, R. F., Abadi, A. W., & Tastian, N. F. (2020). Impacts of Population Density for Landuse Assessment in Cengkareng, West Jakarta, Indonesia. Journal of Geoscience, Engineering, Environment, and Technology, 5(2), 50–59. https://doi.org/10.25299/jgeet.2020.5.2.3705
Rokhmah, M. (2012). Potensi dan Kendala Kebijakan Perlindungan Lahan Pertanian Pangan Berkelanjutan di Kabupaten Demak. Jurnal Pembangunan Wilayah Dan Kota, 8(2), 157–166. https://doi.org/10.14710/pwk.v8i2.11568
Rustiadi, E., Pribadi, D. O., Pravitasari, A. E., & Indraprahasta, G. S. (2015). Jabodetabek Megacity: From City Development Toward Urban Complex Management System. R.B. Singh (Ed), Urban Development Challenges, Risks and Resilience in Asian Mega Cities. Springer. Japan., 421–445. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-4-431-55043-3_22
Sadali, M. I. (2018). Ketahanan Pangan Berkelanjutan di Kabupaten Sukoharjo. Jurnal Geografi, 10(1), 86–97. https://doi.org/10.24114/jg.v10i1.8493
Sari, N. M., & Kushardono, D. (2019). Analisis Dampak Pembangunan Infrastruktur Bandara Internasional Jawa Barat terhadap Alih Fungsi Lahan Pertanian melalui Citra Satelit Resolusi Tinggi. Jurnal Geografi, 11(2), 146–162. https://doi.org/10.24114/jg.v11i2.13470
Setiadi, H., Dimyati, M., Rizqihandari, N., Restuti, R. C., Indratmoko, S., & Handayani, T. (2021). Paddy Field Conversion in Indonesia in A Contemporary Geographic Perspective: A Conceptual Overview of Human-Dialectics. Jurnal Geografi, 13(2), 195–210. https://doi.org/10.24114/jg.v13i2.21027
Sillia, I., & Yuliastuti, N. (2020). Perkembangan Pemanfaatan Lahan di Kawasan Sekitar Bandar Udara Ahmad Yani Semarang. Jurnal Geografi, 12(2), 174–188. https://doi.org/10.24114/jg.v12i02.17879
Sitorus, S. R. P. (2017). Perencanaan Penggunaan Lahan. IPB Press.
Subkhi, W. B., & Mardiansjah, F. H. (2019). Pertumbuhan dan Perkembangan Kawasan Perkotaan di Kabupaten: Studi Kasus Kabupaten Sleman, Daerah Istimewa Yogyakarta. Jurnal Wilayah Dan Lingkungan, 7(2), 105–120. https://doi.org/10.14710/jwl.7.2.105-120
Sutanto. (1994). Penginderaan Jauh Jilid I. UGM Press.
Tejaningrum, M. A., Ardiansyah, M., & Widiatmaka. (2017). Evaluasi Terhadap Penggunaan Lahan dan Pola Ruang dalam Rencana Tata Ruang Wilayah di Kabupaten Pontianak, Provinsi Kalimantan Barat. Jurnal Ilmu Tanah Dan Lingkungan, 19(1), 1–5. https://doi.org/10.29244/jitl.19.1.1-5
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24114/jg.v14i1.24441
Article Metrics
Abstract view : 363 timesPDF - 247 times
Refbacks
- There are currently no refbacks.
Accredited Journal, Based on Decree of the Minister of Research, Technology and Higher Education, Republic of Indonesia Number 36/E/KPT/2019
Copyright ©2020 Jurusan Pendidikan Geografi Fakultas Ilmu Sosial Universitas Negeri Medan dan Ikatan Geograf Indonesia (IGI)
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.